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But when any one or more of these groups are successful and their planning and tactics are then made public, a whole host of capable and prospective threats are free to pursue similar plans. We have seen this over the past decade, from the 9/11, Pakistan, Mumbai and Algeria type terrorism attacks that have taken place with each group learning and improving upon the last. Direct Impact and Likely Outcomes of Malaysia Airlines Flight MH370 Aviation technology will face reed pressure for modernisation and upgrades. This will put economic burden on an already pressured industry and will likely drive some providers or services out of select markets as a result. Governments will also be pressured to regulate and spend in this area too but inconsistent international results will not close the gap or solve the problem in the next decade. This gap will remain a key vulnerability for competent and persistent threat groups.

Aviation standards and risk metrics will be reviewed in light of the complete disappearance of an aircraft and the world’s inability to locate it within a timely manner. Some standards will be too onerous for some providers or markets, further increasing the gap between developed and emerging economies. No evidence of defect will no longer be considered as evidence of no defects by regulators and consumers.

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Buyers and consumers will change their spending habits for what they see or feel as better indicators for safety, security and risk management. Airspace management changes are needed. Ageing infrastructure, public/private expenditure will be demanded but with no direct cost recovery means for most. Incidents, whether deliberate or accidental will continue to occur as with flight MH370 until effective change is implemented in this space.

Transparency and admissions are likely to precede real change with traditional practices challenged. Self help monitoring and awareness has already started. Buyers and consumers are now more suspicious and actively seeking ways they can monitor or self help in the event of routine or emergency failures. There is little collective trust or faith in the industry, evident in the individual applications and online portals that are already being utilised or referenced as a means of consumer transparency in the wake of perceived or government shortfalls or reluctancy to share.

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A cottage industry will accelerate in appealing to consumers and providing access to ‘behind the scenes’ data and information. trends and tactics for the future threat groups will include one or more areas of exploitation now publicly divulged in the Malaysia flight MH370 incident. Inspiration and focus will lead to high end, international, coordinated state/non-state actors considering this now as a viable option for their cause or campaigns. Crisis management failures will result in institutional lack of faith in Malaysia’s governance, regulatory bodies and national carrier. While individual failures will result in termination or replacement, enterprise damage and set backs will have significant economic and confidence impact upon all those associated or held responsible for the poor management and response to the event.

Malaysian citizens will be influenced in elections and support of public officials that have demonstrated long term association to a system that enabled the failure of processes and progress. s capture and reporting will be less credible and become a secondary, unverified source in related incidents. Social journalism and data sourcing or verification by communities and skilled specialists will be promoted and utilised over conventional, mainstream mass media channels.

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